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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.10+4.82vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College1.59+5.65vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.55+1.56vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.13+1.95vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.74+2.10vs Predicted
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6Webb Institute1.54+2.16vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.13+2.48vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College0.60+3.15vs Predicted
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9Boston College1.69-1.40vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.86-3.28vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34-2.16vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University1.29-3.12vs Predicted
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13Fordham University0.81-2.22vs Predicted
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14Boston University0.77-3.02vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College1.03-5.14vs Predicted
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16Bates College-0.32-1.88vs Predicted
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17Fordham University-0.91-1.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.82Boston College2.100.1%1st Place
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7.65Dartmouth College1.590.1%1st Place
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4.56Brown University2.550.2%1st Place
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5.95Brown University2.130.1%1st Place
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7.1Tufts University1.740.1%1st Place
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8.16Webb Institute1.540.1%1st Place
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9.48Tufts University1.130.0%1st Place
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11.15Dartmouth College0.600.0%1st Place
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7.6Boston College1.690.1%1st Place
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6.72Roger Williams University1.860.1%1st Place
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8.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.1%1st Place
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8.88Roger Williams University1.290.0%1st Place
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10.78Fordham University0.810.0%1st Place
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10.98Boston University0.770.0%1st Place
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9.86Bowdoin College1.030.0%1st Place
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14.12Bates College-0.320.0%1st Place
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15.35Fordham University-0.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Budington | 12.1% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ben Sheppard | 6.0% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Martins Atilla | 16.1% | 15.8% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Simpson | 10.6% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Devon Owen | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Everett Botwinick | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Julia Shannon-Grillo | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 0.8% |
| Ava Hurwitz | 3.3% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 13.8% | 11.7% | 5.8% |
| Griffin Gigliotti | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Jed Lory | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Brooke Barry | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Jakub Fuja | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| James Owen | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 3.5% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 3.4% |
| Timmy Gee | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 2.0% |
| Amanda Yolles | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 11.3% | 26.4% | 26.3% |
| Brendan Sheeran | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 17.3% | 54.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.