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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.13+4.75vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.74+5.12vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34+5.72vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College1.59+3.80vs Predicted
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5Boston College1.69+2.30vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.03+4.07vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.55-2.43vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.10-2.11vs Predicted
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9Webb Institute1.54-0.86vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.86-3.32vs Predicted
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11Boston University0.77-0.14vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.13-2.59vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University1.29-3.93vs Predicted
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14Bates College-0.32+0.15vs Predicted
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15Fordham University0.81-4.36vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College0.60-4.53vs Predicted
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17Fordham University-0.91-1.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.75Brown University2.130.1%1st Place
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7.12Tufts University1.740.1%1st Place
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8.72Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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7.8Dartmouth College1.590.1%1st Place
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7.3Boston College1.690.1%1st Place
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10.07Bowdoin College1.030.0%1st Place
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4.57Brown University2.550.2%1st Place
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5.89Boston College2.100.1%1st Place
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8.14Webb Institute1.540.1%1st Place
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6.68Roger Williams University1.860.1%1st Place
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10.86Boston University0.770.0%1st Place
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9.41Tufts University1.130.0%1st Place
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9.07Roger Williams University1.290.1%1st Place
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14.15Bates College-0.320.0%1st Place
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10.64Fordham University0.810.0%1st Place
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11.47Dartmouth College0.600.0%1st Place
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15.36Fordham University-0.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Simpson | 11.7% | 12.5% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Devon Owen | 7.4% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Barry | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Ben Sheppard | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Griffin Gigliotti | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Timmy Gee | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 5.3% | 1.4% |
| Martins Atilla | 16.5% | 13.7% | 13.7% | 12.6% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Budington | 11.3% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Everett Botwinick | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Jed Lory | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 13.6% | 8.9% | 4.1% |
| Julia Shannon-Grillo | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 1.4% |
| Jakub Fuja | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 1.3% |
| Amanda Yolles | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 12.0% | 26.8% | 27.7% |
| James Owen | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 2.9% |
| Ava Hurwitz | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 12.9% | 11.9% | 5.7% |
| Brendan Sheeran | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 18.8% | 53.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.