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📊 Prediction Accuracy
5.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.50+7.97vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.43+3.42vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University4.51+2.23vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30+5.53vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.79+2.63vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.71+2.05vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida3.29+2.68vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+3.00vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University1.88+5.69vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.22+0.24vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.92-3.71vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80-4.01vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.67-5.01vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University3.76-6.46vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College2.60-2.70vs Predicted
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16Stanford University3.08-5.41vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin2.61-4.62vs Predicted
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18Tulane University1.90-3.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.97Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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5.42Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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5.23Georgetown University4.510.1%1st Place
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9.53U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.0%1st Place
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7.63Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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8.05Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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9.68University of South Florida3.290.0%1st Place
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11.0Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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14.69Western Washington University1.880.0%1st Place
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10.24College of Charleston3.220.0%1st Place
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7.29University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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7.99St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
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7.99Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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7.54Old Dominion University3.760.1%1st Place
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12.3Eckerd College2.600.0%1st Place
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10.59Stanford University3.080.0%1st Place
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12.38University of Wisconsin2.610.0%1st Place
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14.48Tulane University1.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claire Dennis | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Anne Haeger | 11.5% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sydney Bolger | 11.6% | 14.4% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Krysta Rohde | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 7.7% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Abby Featherstone | 3.9% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 1.8% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 4.8% |
| Erika Vranizan | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 10.5% | 18.4% | 31.8% |
| Corey Hall | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 4.1% | 3.0% |
| Amy Hawkins | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Megan Magill | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Emily Lambert | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Stephanie Roble | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Lara Dallman-Weiss | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 9.6% |
| Eliza Richartz | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 3.9% |
| Christine Porter | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 10.4% |
| Mackenzie Milne | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 12.2% | 16.4% | 29.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.