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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48+6.82vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.74+4.80vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32+5.52vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.45+3.69vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.02+4.43vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.28+2.47vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.53+0.40vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin1.46+6.78vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University3.39-1.03vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College3.00-0.13vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida2.80-0.55vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.81-1.28vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College3.68-6.25vs Predicted
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14Stanford University3.27-5.85vs Predicted
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15Tulane University1.32+0.26vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston3.20-7.13vs Predicted
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17Boston College3.50-9.31vs Predicted
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18Western Washington University1.62-3.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.82St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
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6.8Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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8.52U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.1%1st Place
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7.69Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.450.1%1st Place
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9.43University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
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8.47Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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7.4Brown University3.530.1%1st Place
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14.78University of Wisconsin1.460.0%1st Place
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7.97Old Dominion University3.390.1%1st Place
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9.87Eckerd College3.000.1%1st Place
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10.45University of South Florida2.800.0%1st Place
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10.72Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
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6.75Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
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8.15Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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15.26Tulane University1.320.0%1st Place
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8.87College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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7.69Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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14.35Western Washington University1.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mayumi Roller | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Marlena Fauer | 7.6% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Kelly Crane | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% |
| Chanel Miller | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Nancy Hagood | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Jennifer Adler | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Adelaide Davis | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 12.4% | 19.4% | 31.3% |
| Morgan Wilson | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Charlotte Dorris | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 1.3% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 2.6% |
| Morgan Russom | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 6.6% | 2.4% |
| Maggie Shea | 9.9% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Mace | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Mary Duncan | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 7.2% | 12.8% | 20.5% | 35.9% |
| Grace Lucas | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Emily Maxwell | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Ashley Vincent | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 14.1% | 23.0% | 21.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.