Race 7A

washington-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Teddy Martin 24.3% 23.3% 16.8% 13.8% 9.6% 6.3% 3.5% 1.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jonathan Weed 26.3% 22.7% 18.1% 15.3% 8.6% 5.0% 2.3% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Margo Cicero 13.3% 14.8% 14.6% 14.2% 14.9% 12.0% 9.6% 3.3% 2.5% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Toby Sullivan 13.0% 15.0% 16.0% 16.8% 12.8% 11.4% 6.9% 5.6% 1.6% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jasper Waldman 4.3% 5.5% 6.7% 8.3% 12.5% 12.9% 14.2% 14.2% 11.3% 5.7% 2.6% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Stefano Palamara 8.1% 6.4% 11.7% 12.8% 14.7% 14.1% 13.4% 8.1% 6.4% 3.2% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Anish Jayewardene 1.7% 2.0% 1.9% 3.8% 5.2% 6.5% 7.6% 9.7% 15.3% 15.8% 15.3% 11.2% 3.2% 0.8%
Nicholas Lorenzen 1.5% 1.9% 3.4% 2.1% 4.4% 6.0% 8.3% 10.1% 11.7% 15.4% 17.3% 11.8% 5.3% 0.8%
Matthew Collinson 3.1% 3.3% 3.8% 4.2% 7.0% 8.5% 13.7% 16.5% 13.5% 13.1% 8.8% 2.6% 1.7% 0.2%
Brian Zagalsky 1.2% 0.8% 1.5% 2.4% 1.9% 2.9% 4.3% 7.7% 11.1% 17.6% 18.2% 16.7% 9.5% 4.2%
Seton Dill 0.2% 0.5% 1.2% 0.7% 0.9% 1.4% 2.8% 3.5% 6.2% 8.9% 13.3% 22.6% 24.2% 13.6%
Aiden Zurcher 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.9% 1.0% 1.3% 1.4% 1.8% 4.1% 6.1% 13.8% 27.2% 41.6%
Isabella Hughes 0.4% 0.6% 0.3% 0.3% 0.5% 0.9% 0.8% 2.2% 3.0% 3.3% 7.3% 14.2% 27.7% 38.5%
Bryan Lawrence 2.4% 3.1% 3.8% 5.0% 6.1% 11.1% 11.3% 14.7% 15.0% 11.4% 9.3% 5.5% 1.0% 0.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.