Race 8A

washington-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

64.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Toby Sullivan 14.2% 15.9% 15.5% 13.8% 14.7% 10.8% 7.6% 4.6% 1.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Margo Cicero 14.2% 15.2% 13.6% 16.3% 15.1% 11.0% 7.8% 3.6% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Teddy Martin 25.4% 19.6% 19.0% 13.2% 11.9% 6.7% 2.8% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Stefano Palamara 7.3% 9.2% 10.9% 12.7% 13.5% 14.6% 13.0% 9.7% 5.0% 3.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Jonathan Weed 23.2% 22.6% 19.5% 15.1% 9.7% 5.6% 2.3% 1.1% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bryan Lawrence 2.4% 2.7% 3.2% 4.2% 5.8% 8.3% 13.4% 14.6% 14.8% 13.1% 10.2% 5.7% 1.6% 0.0%
Jasper Waldman 5.0% 6.8% 8.2% 8.1% 10.7% 15.8% 14.1% 11.0% 11.1% 6.3% 2.0% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Brian Zagalsky 1.2% 0.8% 1.5% 3.0% 3.3% 3.6% 4.7% 9.3% 8.6% 15.2% 18.5% 16.5% 10.8% 3.0%
Seton Dill 0.3% 1.0% 0.7% 1.2% 0.7% 1.7% 1.8% 4.1% 5.3% 6.6% 13.0% 27.1% 23.3% 13.2%
Anish Jayewardene 1.6% 1.5% 1.7% 2.7% 3.6% 4.5% 8.6% 10.6% 15.3% 16.6% 17.8% 9.1% 5.4% 1.0%
Matthew Collinson 2.8% 2.8% 3.5% 5.0% 7.6% 9.2% 12.5% 14.6% 16.6% 11.6% 7.9% 4.7% 1.1% 0.1%
Aiden Zurcher 0.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.4% 0.3% 1.0% 1.4% 1.6% 2.9% 3.4% 6.4% 12.7% 26.8% 42.5%
Isabella Hughes 0.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.5% 0.3% 0.5% 1.2% 2.4% 3.0% 3.8% 8.0% 13.0% 26.6% 39.4%
Nicholas Lorenzen 1.5% 1.1% 2.5% 3.8% 2.8% 6.7% 8.8% 12.0% 12.7% 18.2% 14.8% 9.9% 4.4% 0.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.