Race 9A

washington-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Teddy Martin 26.0% 22.6% 17.1% 13.0% 9.5% 7.9% 2.0% 1.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jasper Waldman 5.0% 5.9% 8.0% 10.8% 11.3% 13.3% 17.7% 12.7% 8.0% 4.3% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Stefano Palamara 8.9% 9.1% 10.3% 12.6% 14.2% 16.2% 12.2% 9.8% 4.7% 1.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Jonathan Weed 24.7% 24.3% 15.8% 14.1% 10.6% 6.5% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Toby Sullivan 11.7% 14.7% 17.9% 15.2% 15.7% 10.2% 8.6% 4.1% 1.2% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Margo Cicero 13.8% 10.8% 16.4% 17.0% 14.8% 11.2% 9.0% 4.5% 1.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Matthew Collinson 3.4% 3.8% 5.0% 5.6% 8.0% 9.8% 15.2% 14.3% 14.7% 12.5% 5.1% 2.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Bryan Lawrence 3.0% 3.1% 3.5% 6.1% 6.1% 9.3% 11.3% 17.1% 15.0% 12.3% 8.0% 3.9% 1.3% 0.0%
Marlon Wool 0.4% 0.9% 1.1% 0.7% 1.7% 1.6% 2.3% 4.2% 5.7% 11.0% 17.3% 21.2% 20.0% 11.9%
Brian Zagalsky 1.2% 1.2% 1.4% 1.7% 2.0% 2.6% 5.6% 9.7% 15.8% 16.3% 18.0% 13.8% 7.4% 3.3%
Nicholas Lorenzen 0.9% 2.3% 2.2% 2.1% 3.1% 7.7% 7.9% 13.4% 15.9% 18.3% 13.9% 7.3% 4.4% 0.6%
Isabella Hughes 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.6% 1.1% 1.8% 1.9% 2.2% 6.5% 8.9% 14.9% 24.3% 37.1%
Aiden Zurcher 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.5% 0.7% 0.7% 1.2% 1.5% 3.8% 5.4% 9.5% 13.1% 24.3% 38.1%
Seton Dill 0.4% 0.7% 0.8% 0.4% 1.7% 1.9% 2.3% 4.9% 10.6% 10.4% 16.1% 22.9% 17.9% 9.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.