Race 1B

washington-fall

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Kate Zurinskas 4.5% 4.6% 7.3% 12.9% 15.1% 15.0% 15.1% 10.9% 9.0% 3.9% 1.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Spencer Dominguez 16.4% 20.6% 24.6% 16.4% 10.7% 7.0% 2.3% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Valerio Palamara 22.5% 24.8% 20.9% 15.4% 9.2% 5.1% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nathan Jensen 39.7% 28.0% 16.9% 9.5% 4.0% 1.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Advik Eswaran 4.2% 3.4% 5.9% 9.6% 12.4% 13.7% 15.5% 13.1% 12.5% 6.2% 3.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Iain Shand 4.7% 6.7% 9.1% 15.2% 16.0% 15.2% 13.2% 10.7% 5.9% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
William Roberts 2.2% 3.0% 2.9% 5.7% 8.0% 9.3% 12.2% 14.4% 16.0% 17.4% 6.4% 2.3% 0.2%
Kate Faranetta 0.6% 1.4% 1.6% 2.0% 2.9% 5.1% 6.0% 7.0% 12.6% 21.7% 24.2% 13.7% 1.2%
Patrick Tis 2.1% 3.7% 5.3% 5.9% 9.6% 13.3% 13.3% 17.0% 14.0% 10.7% 3.7% 1.3% 0.1%
Patrick Cashin 2.2% 3.0% 4.5% 5.9% 9.4% 11.3% 14.8% 15.4% 15.7% 11.3% 4.4% 2.0% 0.1%
Myles Wommack 0.5% 0.1% 0.5% 0.3% 0.8% 0.8% 2.3% 3.8% 5.0% 10.8% 22.7% 36.3% 16.1%
Emma Retzlaff 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 1.0% 1.8% 2.8% 2.6% 4.9% 7.1% 13.2% 26.6% 29.2% 9.6%
Jonah Belback 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.6% 0.9% 1.8% 1.9% 6.7% 14.8% 72.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.