Race 2B

washington-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Kate Zurinskas 4.2% 5.2% 8.3% 12.6% 14.6% 15.2% 14.2% 12.7% 6.8% 5.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
Spencer Dominguez 16.6% 20.9% 23.9% 17.0% 11.5% 5.8% 2.6% 1.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Valerio Palamara 22.6% 24.2% 21.7% 14.7% 10.6% 4.4% 1.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nathan Jensen 39.9% 27.9% 16.3% 9.9% 4.4% 1.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Advik Eswaran 4.3% 3.7% 5.7% 9.9% 11.9% 14.3% 14.8% 14.2% 11.8% 6.2% 2.9% 0.2% 0.1%
Patrick Tis 2.0% 4.0% 4.7% 7.5% 9.9% 13.6% 14.6% 16.3% 14.0% 7.8% 4.6% 0.9% 0.1%
Iain Shand 5.7% 7.0% 9.6% 14.1% 14.8% 15.5% 14.3% 10.5% 5.7% 2.3% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Kate Faranetta 0.5% 1.6% 1.4% 1.9% 3.3% 4.2% 6.5% 6.5% 13.5% 22.6% 22.9% 12.9% 2.2%
William Roberts 1.7% 2.6% 4.0% 4.6% 6.5% 10.7% 11.3% 15.0% 18.1% 15.7% 6.9% 2.5% 0.4%
Jonah Belback 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 1.1% 1.0% 3.9% 7.2% 14.0% 70.9%
Emma Retzlaff 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 1.0% 1.1% 2.6% 4.1% 5.4% 7.3% 15.0% 27.6% 27.1% 7.8%
Patrick Cashin 1.3% 2.2% 4.2% 6.2% 9.9% 11.1% 12.9% 14.4% 17.0% 12.1% 6.8% 1.6% 0.3%
Myles Wommack 0.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.4% 1.2% 1.0% 2.3% 2.1% 4.4% 9.3% 19.7% 40.6% 18.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.