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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.81+9.53vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.45+5.95vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.39+5.23vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32+4.21vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.68+1.82vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida2.80+4.35vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.50+0.54vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.02+1.46vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University3.28-0.62vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.74-3.14vs Predicted
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11Stanford University3.27-2.39vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48-3.98vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.53-5.69vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston3.20-5.50vs Predicted
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15Tulane University1.32+0.27vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin1.46-1.04vs Predicted
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17Western Washington University1.62-2.41vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College3.00-8.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.53Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
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7.95Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.450.1%1st Place
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8.23Old Dominion University3.390.1%1st Place
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8.21U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.1%1st Place
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6.82Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
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10.35University of South Florida2.800.0%1st Place
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7.54Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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9.46University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
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8.38Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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6.86Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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8.61Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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8.02St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
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7.31Brown University3.530.1%1st Place
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8.5College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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15.27Tulane University1.320.0%1st Place
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14.96University of Wisconsin1.460.0%1st Place
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14.59Western Washington University1.620.0%1st Place
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9.43Eckerd College3.000.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Russom | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 2.8% |
| Kelly Crane | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Morgan Wilson | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Maggie Shea | 9.8% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 5.5% | 2.4% |
| Emily Maxwell | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Chanel Miller | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Nancy Hagood | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Marlena Fauer | 10.0% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Mace | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Mayumi Roller | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Jennifer Adler | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Grace Lucas | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Mary Duncan | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 11.3% | 22.5% | 34.8% |
| Adelaide Davis | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 13.4% | 22.1% | 29.5% |
| Ashley Vincent | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 9.3% | 13.6% | 22.2% | 24.4% |
| Charlotte Dorris | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.