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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy1.56+2.24vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.34+0.16vs Predicted
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3Hampton University1.77-0.09vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy0.16+1.79vs Predicted
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6Monmouth University-0.52+1.09vs Predicted
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7Drexel University0.32-1.56vs Predicted
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9Princeton University-0.73-1.43vs Predicted
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10Princeton University-0.15-3.63vs Predicted
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11Washington College-0.38-4.05vs Predicted
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12University of Delaware-2.76-0.90vs Predicted
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13University of Maryland-2.31-2.57vs Predicted
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14Rutgers University-1.67-4.46vs Predicted
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15University of Pittsburgh-3.97-2.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.24U. S. Naval Academy1.560.2%1st Place
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2.16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.340.4%1st Place
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2.91Hampton University1.770.2%1st Place
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5.79U. S. Naval Academy0.160.0%1st Place
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7.09Monmouth University-0.520.0%1st Place
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5.44Drexel University0.320.1%1st Place
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7.57Princeton University-0.730.0%1st Place
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6.37Princeton University-0.150.0%1st Place
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6.95Washington College-0.380.0%1st Place
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11.1University of Delaware-2.760.0%1st Place
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10.43University of Maryland-2.310.0%1st Place
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9.54Rutgers University-1.670.0%1st Place
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12.41University of Pittsburgh-3.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Dominguez | 18.7% | 18.3% | 22.4% | 17.9% | 11.9% | 6.9% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Jensen | 40.1% | 27.2% | 18.1% | 8.8% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Valerio Palamara | 20.8% | 26.3% | 21.0% | 15.8% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kate Zurinskas | 3.6% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 11.9% | 15.5% | 15.3% | 13.5% | 12.1% | 8.8% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Cashin | 2.4% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 12.9% | 14.8% | 15.7% | 12.1% | 5.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Iain Shand | 5.0% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 14.6% | 16.1% | 14.9% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| William Roberts | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 18.0% | 15.4% | 8.0% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Advik Eswaran | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 15.5% | 15.7% | 11.5% | 6.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Tis | 2.1% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 13.0% | 16.0% | 13.6% | 15.7% | 9.6% | 4.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Myles Wommack | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 10.6% | 18.7% | 39.4% | 17.7% |
| Emma Retzlaff | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 14.2% | 28.8% | 25.2% | 8.6% |
| Kate Faranetta | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 21.0% | 25.9% | 14.5% | 2.0% |
| Jonah Belback | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 15.8% | 71.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.