← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.34+1.16vs Predicted
-
2Hampton University1.77+0.88vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Naval Academy0.16+2.84vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Naval Academy1.56-0.76vs Predicted
-
5Drexel University0.32+0.39vs Predicted
-
6Monmouth University-0.52+1.17vs Predicted
-
7Washington College-0.38-0.18vs Predicted
-
9Princeton University-0.73-1.45vs Predicted
-
10Princeton University-0.15-3.50vs Predicted
-
11Rutgers University-1.67-1.57vs Predicted
-
13University of Maryland-2.31-2.56vs Predicted
-
14University of Pittsburgh-3.97-1.61vs Predicted
-
15University of Delaware-2.76-3.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.340.4%1st Place
-
2.88Hampton University1.770.2%1st Place
-
5.84U. S. Naval Academy0.160.0%1st Place
-
3.24U. S. Naval Academy1.560.2%1st Place
-
5.39Drexel University0.320.1%1st Place
-
7.17Monmouth University-0.520.0%1st Place
-
6.82Washington College-0.380.0%1st Place
-
7.55Princeton University-0.730.0%1st Place
-
6.5Princeton University-0.150.0%1st Place
-
9.43Rutgers University-1.670.0%1st Place
-
10.44University of Maryland-2.310.0%1st Place
-
12.39University of Pittsburgh-3.970.0%1st Place
-
11.19University of Delaware-2.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Jensen | 39.8% | 27.7% | 17.6% | 9.0% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Valerio Palamara | 21.8% | 25.4% | 22.6% | 14.4% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kate Zurinskas | 3.9% | 3.9% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 14.8% | 15.9% | 15.9% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Dominguez | 17.7% | 20.6% | 20.4% | 18.5% | 13.0% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Iain Shand | 5.7% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 13.0% | 15.0% | 16.9% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 6.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Cashin | 2.0% | 2.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 13.7% | 15.5% | 16.1% | 10.2% | 6.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Tis | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 15.7% | 14.4% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 5.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| William Roberts | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 14.7% | 17.4% | 15.3% | 8.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Advik Eswaran | 2.5% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 15.1% | 14.4% | 13.8% | 12.6% | 7.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Kate Faranetta | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 23.5% | 22.0% | 13.5% | 2.6% |
| Emma Retzlaff | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 14.8% | 28.9% | 25.4% | 8.2% |
| Jonah Belback | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 16.6% | 70.1% |
| Myles Wommack | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 9.1% | 19.4% | 40.0% | 18.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.