Race 7B

washington-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Spencer Dominguez 17.6% 21.0% 21.9% 17.6% 11.9% 5.9% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Valerio Palamara 21.0% 24.5% 23.5% 15.9% 8.9% 3.7% 1.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Advik Eswaran 2.3% 3.4% 3.9% 10.6% 13.8% 14.4% 17.6% 15.3% 11.3% 5.5% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Nathan Jensen 39.5% 28.4% 18.2% 8.8% 2.9% 1.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Iain Shand 6.3% 6.5% 10.5% 13.3% 14.5% 15.3% 15.1% 9.8% 5.8% 2.3% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Kate Zurinskas 4.6% 6.0% 7.9% 11.2% 16.5% 17.3% 13.8% 10.7% 8.1% 3.0% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Patrick Cashin 3.1% 3.4% 3.2% 6.7% 9.9% 12.8% 13.1% 16.0% 17.4% 9.2% 4.5% 0.7% 0.0%
Patrick Tis 2.7% 3.8% 4.7% 7.8% 10.4% 13.0% 15.0% 16.7% 14.4% 8.0% 2.5% 1.0% 0.0%
William Roberts 1.7% 2.1% 4.2% 5.3% 7.1% 9.7% 13.0% 14.9% 20.9% 13.2% 6.5% 1.2% 0.2%
Emma Retzlaff 0.4% 0.2% 1.0% 1.4% 2.1% 2.6% 3.0% 5.1% 7.0% 21.0% 27.3% 21.2% 7.7%
Ralph Molinari 0.5% 0.1% 0.4% 0.7% 0.7% 1.6% 2.8% 4.3% 6.5% 18.8% 26.0% 27.0% 10.6%
Coleman Walsh 0.2% 0.5% 0.4% 0.6% 1.0% 1.6% 1.8% 4.5% 6.3% 14.8% 22.4% 32.3% 13.6%
Jonah Belback 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.8% 1.9% 4.2% 7.7% 16.3% 67.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.