Race 8B

washington-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Nathan Jensen 38.5% 29.8% 16.9% 9.5% 3.3% 1.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kate Zurinskas 4.3% 5.3% 8.6% 11.3% 16.0% 16.6% 14.8% 12.4% 6.5% 3.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Spencer Dominguez 17.3% 21.3% 22.4% 16.4% 13.5% 5.1% 2.3% 1.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Valerio Palamara 21.7% 22.9% 23.6% 15.1% 9.9% 4.2% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Patrick Cashin 3.5% 3.1% 3.0% 7.7% 9.0% 13.2% 14.0% 15.7% 15.1% 11.6% 3.5% 0.4% 0.2%
William Roberts 1.5% 2.3% 4.2% 5.0% 8.4% 10.1% 12.5% 14.7% 19.9% 13.0% 7.2% 1.2% 0.0%
Advik Eswaran 4.1% 4.4% 5.9% 10.7% 11.3% 14.3% 15.4% 14.1% 10.8% 6.9% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Patrick Tis 2.4% 3.6% 5.0% 7.2% 10.5% 12.3% 15.5% 15.6% 16.7% 8.3% 2.2% 0.7% 0.0%
Iain Shand 5.6% 6.3% 9.0% 14.3% 14.7% 15.8% 13.6% 11.5% 6.1% 2.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Ralph Molinari 0.3% 0.2% 0.4% 1.0% 1.4% 2.3% 2.8% 4.0% 5.3% 14.7% 26.0% 30.1% 11.5%
Emma Retzlaff 0.5% 0.4% 0.4% 1.0% 0.6% 2.9% 3.8% 5.6% 10.9% 20.7% 27.7% 18.2% 7.3%
Coleman Walsh 0.2% 0.2% 0.6% 0.7% 1.0% 1.6% 2.4% 3.7% 6.3% 13.9% 23.8% 31.4% 14.2%
Jonah Belback 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.8% 0.8% 1.8% 5.0% 6.7% 17.3% 66.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.