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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.34+1.20vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy0.16+3.77vs Predicted
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3Hampton University1.77-0.12vs Predicted
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5Princeton University-0.73+2.71vs Predicted
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6Washington College-0.38+0.88vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-0.15-0.58vs Predicted
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8Rutgers University-1.67+1.35vs Predicted
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9Monmouth University-0.52-1.83vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy1.56-6.78vs Predicted
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11Drexel University0.32-5.54vs Predicted
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12University of Maryland-2.31-1.56vs Predicted
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13University of Delaware-2.65-1.92vs Predicted
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15University of Pittsburgh-3.97-2.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.340.4%1st Place
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5.77U. S. Naval Academy0.160.0%1st Place
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2.88Hampton University1.770.2%1st Place
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7.71Princeton University-0.730.0%1st Place
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6.88Washington College-0.380.0%1st Place
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6.42Princeton University-0.150.0%1st Place
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9.35Rutgers University-1.670.0%1st Place
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7.17Monmouth University-0.520.0%1st Place
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3.22U. S. Naval Academy1.560.2%1st Place
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5.46Drexel University0.320.1%1st Place
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10.44University of Maryland-2.310.0%1st Place
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11.08University of Delaware-2.650.0%1st Place
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12.43University of Pittsburgh-3.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Jensen | 38.3% | 28.5% | 18.1% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kate Zurinskas | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 12.8% | 15.7% | 13.0% | 16.1% | 12.0% | 8.0% | 3.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Valerio Palamara | 23.3% | 22.8% | 23.2% | 15.3% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Roberts | 1.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 15.0% | 17.5% | 15.0% | 8.6% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Patrick Tis | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 14.5% | 13.8% | 10.9% | 4.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Advik Eswaran | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 8.7% | 12.9% | 15.3% | 14.9% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 7.1% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Kate Faranetta | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 20.4% | 25.9% | 13.0% | 2.3% |
| Patrick Cashin | 1.8% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 15.9% | 16.5% | 11.8% | 5.0% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Dominguez | 17.7% | 20.5% | 21.5% | 18.2% | 12.1% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Iain Shand | 5.2% | 6.4% | 10.4% | 13.7% | 15.0% | 14.3% | 13.3% | 11.9% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emma Retzlaff | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 7.9% | 15.4% | 27.2% | 25.5% | 9.1% |
| Coleman Walsh | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 19.1% | 40.4% | 15.8% |
| Jonah Belback | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 6.0% | 15.1% | 72.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.