Race 10B

washington-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

76.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Nathan Jensen 39.2% 26.3% 20.1% 8.1% 3.4% 2.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Valerio Palamara 22.9% 23.6% 22.8% 14.6% 7.8% 5.7% 1.9% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Spencer Dominguez 16.6% 22.0% 20.3% 19.0% 11.6% 5.8% 3.1% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
William Roberts 1.6% 1.9% 3.1% 5.6% 7.2% 11.0% 12.9% 12.8% 17.6% 14.6% 9.1% 2.3% 0.3%
Advik Eswaran 3.5% 3.8% 6.9% 9.2% 12.0% 14.4% 12.0% 16.4% 11.6% 7.1% 2.7% 0.4% 0.0%
Iain Shand 5.1% 7.5% 8.6% 14.7% 15.2% 16.6% 12.6% 9.1% 6.3% 3.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Patrick Tis 3.8% 3.1% 4.2% 7.6% 11.6% 9.9% 15.4% 15.5% 14.8% 9.9% 3.4% 0.8% 0.0%
Patrick Cashin 2.3% 3.8% 3.8% 5.0% 9.5% 11.0% 15.6% 15.7% 16.8% 9.4% 5.1% 1.8% 0.2%
Kate Faranetta 0.5% 1.4% 1.4% 2.3% 4.1% 3.4% 5.1% 6.5% 12.9% 24.0% 21.3% 14.2% 2.9%
Coleman Walsh 0.3% 0.0% 0.6% 1.1% 1.1% 2.4% 2.9% 2.7% 4.0% 11.0% 22.4% 35.1% 16.4%
Jonah Belback 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.6% 0.5% 0.9% 3.3% 6.7% 17.8% 69.2%
Emma Retzlaff 0.3% 0.4% 0.5% 1.1% 1.7% 1.9% 2.9% 4.9% 7.3% 12.9% 27.8% 27.3% 11.0%
Kate Zurinskas 3.7% 6.2% 7.7% 11.5% 14.3% 15.3% 14.6% 14.0% 7.4% 4.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.