Race 11A

south-series-two

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Tommy Fink 39.1% 25.8% 16.7% 9.5% 4.8% 2.3% 1.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Quentin Chafee 8.5% 12.9% 14.9% 15.7% 14.2% 12.4% 10.7% 6.9% 3.8%
Michael Hession 10.3% 11.5% 14.0% 13.7% 13.0% 13.5% 10.1% 10.1% 3.8%
Viktor Bolmgren 6.1% 8.7% 9.2% 10.2% 13.6% 13.4% 13.4% 14.4% 11.0%
William Cotta 8.2% 9.4% 12.5% 10.2% 12.6% 9.8% 15.1% 12.2% 10.0%
Peter Hughes 8.4% 9.4% 10.4% 12.0% 12.9% 14.1% 15.3% 10.5% 7.0%
Dylan Griffin 3.0% 3.5% 3.2% 4.8% 6.7% 8.0% 11.8% 19.2% 39.8%
Michael Reney 5.0% 5.3% 6.6% 8.7% 8.3% 12.7% 13.2% 19.1% 21.1%
Eric Decesar 11.4% 13.5% 12.5% 15.2% 13.9% 13.8% 8.7% 7.5% 3.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.