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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.02+7.21vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.30+2.01vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+5.94vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.55+2.22vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.97+4.40vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.20+2.00vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.99+2.26vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.10+3.04vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.60+1.72vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston1.81+0.03vs Predicted
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11George Washington University0.93+2.05vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.10-1.77vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College1.51-1.48vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.09-5.71vs Predicted
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15Cornell University2.38-7.53vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.22-3.37vs Predicted
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17Tufts University0.66-3.43vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania1.77-9.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.21Tulane University2.025.6%1st Place
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4.01Stanford University3.3021.2%1st Place
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8.94Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.775.5%1st Place
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6.22Yale University2.5510.7%1st Place
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9.4Roger Williams University1.974.3%1st Place
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8.0Georgetown University2.206.5%1st Place
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9.26Brown University1.995.5%1st Place
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11.04Harvard University2.102.7%1st Place
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10.72University of South Florida1.603.5%1st Place
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10.03College of Charleston1.813.8%1st Place
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13.05George Washington University0.931.8%1st Place
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10.23Dartmouth College2.104.0%1st Place
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11.52Bowdoin College1.512.6%1st Place
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8.29Boston College2.095.5%1st Place
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7.47Cornell University2.387.8%1st Place
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12.63Northeastern University1.222.5%1st Place
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13.57Tufts University0.661.6%1st Place
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8.4University of Pennsylvania1.774.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samantha Gardner | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 21.2% | 16.5% | 14.3% | 13.0% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.7% |
| Emma Cowles | 10.7% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Meagher | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% |
| Piper Holthus | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Katharine Doble | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.2% |
| Cordelia Burn | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 5.9% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.1% |
| Emma Tallman | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.7% |
| Avery Canavan | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 11.3% | 13.7% | 19.8% |
| Sarah Young | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.0% |
| Kyra Phelan | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.5% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% |
| Bridget Green | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Eva Ermlich | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 16.0% |
| Meredith Broadus | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 14.1% | 25.1% |
| Sofia Segalla | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.