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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.81+9.47vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University3.39+6.16vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.74+3.83vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.68+2.74vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.45+2.71vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.20+2.79vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.27+1.45vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.45-0.35vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida2.80+1.31vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.50-2.17vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32-2.58vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University3.28-3.18vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48-5.50vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College3.00-4.71vs Predicted
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15Western Washington University1.62-0.55vs Predicted
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16Tulane University1.32-0.68vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin1.46-2.02vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island3.02-8.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.47Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
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8.16Old Dominion University3.390.1%1st Place
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6.83Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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6.74Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
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7.71Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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8.79College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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8.45Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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7.65Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.450.1%1st Place
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10.31University of South Florida2.800.0%1st Place
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7.83Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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8.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.1%1st Place
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8.82Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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7.5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
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9.29Eckerd College3.000.1%1st Place
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14.45Western Washington University1.620.0%1st Place
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15.32Tulane University1.320.0%1st Place
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14.98University of Wisconsin1.460.0%1st Place
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9.29University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Russom | 4.3% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 2.6% |
| Morgan Wilson | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Marlena Fauer | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Maggie Shea | 10.5% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 7.2% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Grace Lucas | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Sarah Mace | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Kelly Crane | 6.7% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 1.6% |
| Emily Maxwell | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Nancy Hagood | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Mayumi Roller | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Charlotte Dorris | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| Ashley Vincent | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 15.4% | 21.5% | 22.4% |
| Mary Duncan | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 11.6% | 22.1% | 36.1% |
| Adelaide Davis | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 12.5% | 22.6% | 30.9% |
| Chanel Miller | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.