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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.23+5.11vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.39+3.41vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.40+6.33vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.12+2.22vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.69+2.87vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.46+2.92vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.55+1.44vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+2.19vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45-0.14vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania1.88+1.49vs Predicted
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11Tulane University2.37-1.59vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.82-4.33vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.47-4.31vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston1.75-2.60vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College1.49-2.25vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.62-3.63vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida1.24-3.19vs Predicted
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18North Carolina State University1.65-5.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.11Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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5.41Stanford University3.390.1%1st Place
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9.33U. S. Naval Academy2.400.0%1st Place
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6.22Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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7.87Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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8.92Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
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8.44Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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10.19Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.0%1st Place
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8.86U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.0%1st Place
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11.49University of Pennsylvania1.880.0%1st Place
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9.41Tulane University2.370.1%1st Place
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7.67Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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8.69Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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11.4College of Charleston1.750.0%1st Place
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12.75Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
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12.37Tufts University1.620.0%1st Place
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13.81University of South Florida1.240.0%1st Place
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12.04North Carolina State University1.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddie Hawkins | 10.0% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 11.8% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.9% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 11.5% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Bridget Green | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 6.0% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| Piper Holthus | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.1% |
| Emily Bornarth | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| Madeleine Rice | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 7.5% |
| Samantha Gardner | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Cordelia Burn | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Grace Squires | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.8% |
| Kyra Phelan | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 15.7% |
| Ella Hubbard | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 13.7% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 14.5% | 26.7% |
| Olivia Sowa | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 11.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.