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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.39+4.53vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.55+6.70vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.40+6.33vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.12+2.22vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.47+3.78vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.69+1.88vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45+1.90vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.23-2.18vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.46-0.13vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.49+2.95vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston1.75+0.90vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.62+0.64vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12-2.87vs Predicted
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14Tulane University2.37-5.07vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania1.88-3.80vs Predicted
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16Boston College2.82-8.53vs Predicted
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17North Carolina State University1.65-4.68vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida1.24-4.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.53Stanford University3.390.1%1st Place
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8.7Georgetown University2.550.0%1st Place
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9.33U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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6.22Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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8.78Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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7.88Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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8.9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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5.82Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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8.87Brown University2.460.0%1st Place
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12.95Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
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11.9College of Charleston1.750.0%1st Place
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12.64Tufts University1.620.0%1st Place
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10.13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.0%1st Place
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8.93Tulane University2.370.1%1st Place
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11.2University of Pennsylvania1.880.0%1st Place
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7.47Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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12.32North Carolina State University1.650.0%1st Place
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13.43University of South Florida1.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 12.9% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Piper Holthus | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 11.1% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Cordelia Burn | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Bridget Green | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Emily Bornarth | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.0% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 11.6% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Kyra Phelan | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 17.5% |
| Grace Squires | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 10.8% |
| Ella Hubbard | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 15.4% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 3.9% |
| Samantha Gardner | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 1.5% |
| Madeleine Rice | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Olivia Sowa | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 12.9% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 14.3% | 22.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.