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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.82+6.61vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.47+7.05vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.39+2.46vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45+4.82vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.46+3.80vs Predicted
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6Tulane University2.37+3.25vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.69+0.91vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.23-2.16vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.62+3.30vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.49+2.99vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.12-4.60vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12-1.39vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston1.75-1.35vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.40-5.21vs Predicted
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15North Carolina State University1.65-2.84vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania1.88-4.62vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida1.24-3.27vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University2.55-9.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.61Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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9.05Harvard University2.470.0%1st Place
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5.46Stanford University3.390.1%1st Place
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8.82U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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8.8Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
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9.25Tulane University2.370.1%1st Place
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7.91Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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5.84Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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12.3Tufts University1.620.0%1st Place
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12.99Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
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6.4Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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10.61Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.0%1st Place
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11.65College of Charleston1.750.0%1st Place
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8.79U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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12.16North Carolina State University1.650.0%1st Place
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11.38University of Pennsylvania1.880.0%1st Place
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13.73University of South Florida1.240.0%1st Place
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8.24Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Sibilly | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Cordelia Burn | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 12.8% | 10.2% | 13.4% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Bornarth | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Samantha Gardner | 5.3% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.7% |
| Bridget Green | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 12.4% | 12.8% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Ella Hubbard | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 10.7% |
| Kyra Phelan | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 14.4% | 17.6% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 10.6% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 3.0% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% |
| Grace Squires | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 9.7% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 1.0% |
| Olivia Sowa | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 12.1% |
| Madeleine Rice | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 7.9% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 14.9% | 25.9% |
| Piper Holthus | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.