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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.86+10.69vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.69+6.24vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.55+5.86vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.39+1.35vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.40+4.20vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+4.40vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.12-0.66vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.47+0.90vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University1.65+3.33vs Predicted
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10Tulane University2.37-0.39vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.82-3.35vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College1.49+1.20vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston1.75-1.27vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45-5.27vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College3.23-9.09vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.62-3.53vs Predicted
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17Brown University2.46-7.82vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania1.88-6.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.69University of South Florida1.860.0%1st Place
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8.24Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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8.86Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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5.35Stanford University3.390.1%1st Place
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9.2U. S. Naval Academy2.400.0%1st Place
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10.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.0%1st Place
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6.34Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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8.9Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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12.33North Carolina State University1.650.0%1st Place
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9.61Tulane University2.370.1%1st Place
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7.65Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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13.2Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
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11.73College of Charleston1.750.0%1st Place
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8.73U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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5.91Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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12.47Tufts University1.620.0%1st Place
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9.18Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
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11.22University of Pennsylvania1.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kay Brunsvold | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 11.0% |
| Bridget Green | 5.0% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Piper Holthus | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 14.2% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.6% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 9.5% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Cordelia Burn | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 1.7% |
| Olivia Sowa | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 13.3% | 12.8% |
| Samantha Gardner | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 2.5% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 8.0% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% |
| Kyra Phelan | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 9.9% | 15.0% | 20.8% |
| Grace Squires | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 10.9% |
| Emily Bornarth | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.1% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 10.8% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Ella Hubbard | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 17.0% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 1.6% |
| Madeleine Rice | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 7.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.