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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.40+8.50vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.23+4.10vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.82+4.70vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45+4.92vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.39+0.36vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.69+1.99vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston1.75+4.89vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College1.49+4.84vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.12-2.73vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.86+1.81vs Predicted
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11Tulane University2.37-1.44vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.46-2.60vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania1.88-1.79vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.62-1.88vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University2.55-6.41vs Predicted
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16North Carolina State University1.65-3.57vs Predicted
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17Harvard University2.47-7.88vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12-7.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.5U. S. Naval Academy2.400.0%1st Place
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6.1Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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7.7Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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8.92U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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5.36Stanford University3.390.1%1st Place
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7.99Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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11.89College of Charleston1.750.0%1st Place
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12.84Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
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6.27Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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11.81University of South Florida1.860.0%1st Place
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9.56Tulane University2.370.1%1st Place
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9.4Brown University2.460.0%1st Place
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11.21University of Pennsylvania1.880.0%1st Place
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12.12Tufts University1.620.0%1st Place
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8.59Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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12.43North Carolina State University1.650.0%1st Place
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9.12Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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10.18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva Blauvelt | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.3% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 8.7% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Emily Bornarth | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 14.5% | 14.5% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Green | 7.0% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Grace Squires | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 13.3% | 9.5% |
| Kyra Phelan | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 20.1% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 8.8% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 10.9% |
| Samantha Gardner | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 2.8% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.1% |
| Madeleine Rice | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.1% |
| Ella Hubbard | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 11.2% | 15.0% |
| Piper Holthus | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 1.6% |
| Olivia Sowa | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 15.1% |
| Cordelia Burn | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.