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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.39+4.55vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.40+7.35vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.23+3.01vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.69+3.80vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.12+1.27vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.49+6.79vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston1.75+4.77vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.47+0.83vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.55-0.57vs Predicted
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10Tulane University2.37-0.49vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.82-3.48vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.46-2.75vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45-4.23vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12-4.08vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania1.88-3.76vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida1.86-4.50vs Predicted
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17North Carolina State University1.65-4.70vs Predicted
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18Tufts University1.02-3.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.55Stanford University3.390.1%1st Place
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9.35U. S. Naval Academy2.400.0%1st Place
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6.01Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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7.8Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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6.27Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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12.79Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
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11.77College of Charleston1.750.0%1st Place
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8.83Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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8.43Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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9.51Tulane University2.370.1%1st Place
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7.52Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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9.25Brown University2.460.0%1st Place
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8.77U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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9.92Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.0%1st Place
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11.24University of Pennsylvania1.880.0%1st Place
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11.5University of South Florida1.860.0%1st Place
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12.3North Carolina State University1.650.0%1st Place
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14.23Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 12.9% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.8% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 11.1% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Green | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 11.4% | 11.6% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Kyra Phelan | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 16.9% |
| Grace Squires | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 9.4% |
| Cordelia Burn | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| Piper Holthus | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Samantha Gardner | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 1.8% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 2.2% |
| Emily Bornarth | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.5% |
| Madeleine Rice | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.0% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 9.2% |
| Olivia Sowa | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 12.2% |
| Samantha Jensen | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 11.0% | 14.6% | 31.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.