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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.69+7.19vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.39+3.49vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.86+8.62vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.47+4.77vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.40+4.03vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.23-0.11vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.65+5.17vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45+0.82vs Predicted
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9Tulane University2.37+0.21vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.46-0.83vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.55-2.35vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College1.49+0.99vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12-2.87vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.12-7.90vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.02-0.70vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston1.75-4.16vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania1.88-5.64vs Predicted
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18Boston College2.82-10.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.19Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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5.49Stanford University3.390.1%1st Place
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11.62University of South Florida1.860.0%1st Place
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8.77Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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9.03U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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5.89Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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12.17North Carolina State University1.650.0%1st Place
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8.82U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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9.21Tulane University2.370.0%1st Place
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9.17Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
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8.65Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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12.99Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
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10.13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.0%1st Place
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6.1Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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14.3Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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11.84College of Charleston1.750.0%1st Place
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11.36University of Pennsylvania1.880.0%1st Place
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7.25Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Green | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 11.4% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 7.7% |
| Cordelia Burn | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 1.5% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 10.3% | 13.2% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Sowa | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 10.6% |
| Emily Bornarth | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| Samantha Gardner | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 6.2% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 1.2% |
| Piper Holthus | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% |
| Kyra Phelan | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 13.1% | 18.8% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.1% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 11.6% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Jensen | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 15.0% | 31.4% |
| Grace Squires | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 9.1% |
| Madeleine Rice | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 7.4% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.