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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45+8.26vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.12+4.50vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.23+3.11vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.39+1.35vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.55+3.54vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.47+2.93vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston1.75+4.95vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.86+3.39vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.46-0.04vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.62+2.67vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.69-2.81vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College1.49+1.25vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.82-5.64vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania1.88-2.89vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.40-5.79vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12-5.51vs Predicted
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17Tulane University2.37-7.50vs Predicted
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18North Carolina State University1.65-5.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.26U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.0%1st Place
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6.5Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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6.11Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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5.35Stanford University3.390.1%1st Place
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8.54Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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8.93Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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11.95College of Charleston1.750.0%1st Place
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11.39University of South Florida1.860.0%1st Place
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8.96Brown University2.460.0%1st Place
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12.67Tufts University1.620.0%1st Place
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8.19Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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13.25Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
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7.36Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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11.11University of Pennsylvania1.880.0%1st Place
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9.21U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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10.49Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.0%1st Place
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9.5Tulane University2.370.1%1st Place
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12.22North Carolina State University1.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Bornarth | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 1.9% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 7.7% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 10.2% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 14.2% | 14.0% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Piper Holthus | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Cordelia Burn | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.2% |
| Grace Squires | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 11.9% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 3.5% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.0% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Ella Hubbard | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 13.6% | 15.8% |
| Bridget Green | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Kyra Phelan | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 12.1% | 23.1% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Madeleine Rice | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.7% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.2% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.1% |
| Samantha Gardner | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.4% |
| Olivia Sowa | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 13.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.