← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College2.82+6.70vs Predicted
-
2Harvard University2.47+7.20vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+7.67vs Predicted
-
4Georgetown University2.55+4.51vs Predicted
-
5Dartmouth College3.23+0.96vs Predicted
-
6Cornell University2.69+2.06vs Predicted
-
7University of South Florida1.86+4.47vs Predicted
-
8Tufts University1.62+4.29vs Predicted
-
9College of Charleston1.75+2.85vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Naval Academy2.40-0.49vs Predicted
-
11Brown University2.46-1.90vs Predicted
-
12Yale University3.12-5.32vs Predicted
-
13Tulane University2.37-3.75vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45-5.27vs Predicted
-
15Stanford University3.39-9.63vs Predicted
-
16University of Pennsylvania1.88-4.56vs Predicted
-
17Bowdoin College1.49-3.99vs Predicted
-
18North Carolina State University1.65-5.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.7Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
-
9.2Harvard University2.470.0%1st Place
-
10.67Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.0%1st Place
-
8.51Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
-
5.96Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
-
8.06Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
-
11.47University of South Florida1.860.0%1st Place
-
12.29Tufts University1.620.0%1st Place
-
11.85College of Charleston1.750.0%1st Place
-
9.51U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
-
9.1Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
-
6.68Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
-
9.25Tulane University2.370.1%1st Place
-
8.73U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
-
5.37Stanford University3.390.1%1st Place
-
11.44University of Pennsylvania1.880.0%1st Place
-
13.01Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
-
12.18North Carolina State University1.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Sibilly | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Cordelia Burn | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 4.6% |
| Piper Holthus | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 11.7% | 13.1% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Green | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 8.5% |
| Ella Hubbard | 3.0% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 12.3% | 15.8% |
| Grace Squires | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 11.1% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.6% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 9.9% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Gardner | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 2.3% |
| Emily Bornarth | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.0% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 12.4% | 13.5% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Madeleine Rice | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 11.0% |
| Kyra Phelan | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 14.1% | 19.9% |
| Olivia Sowa | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 14.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.