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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48+6.80vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.74+4.84vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.28+5.70vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.02+5.35vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.45+2.76vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College3.00+3.57vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.50+0.57vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.20+0.72vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College3.68-2.24vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University3.39-1.75vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.45-3.06vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University1.62+2.69vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida2.80-2.75vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.81-4.00vs Predicted
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15Stanford University3.27-6.59vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32-7.69vs Predicted
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17Tulane University1.32-1.67vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin1.46-3.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
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6.84Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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8.7Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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9.35University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
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7.76Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.450.1%1st Place
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9.57Eckerd College3.000.1%1st Place
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7.57Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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8.72College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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6.76Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
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8.25Old Dominion University3.390.1%1st Place
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7.94Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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14.69Western Washington University1.620.0%1st Place
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10.25University of South Florida2.800.0%1st Place
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10.0Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
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8.41Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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8.31U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.1%1st Place
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15.33Tulane University1.320.0%1st Place
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14.75University of Wisconsin1.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mayumi Roller | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Marlena Fauer | 7.4% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Nancy Hagood | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Chanel Miller | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| Kelly Crane | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Charlotte Dorris | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 1.2% |
| Emily Maxwell | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Grace Lucas | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Maggie Shea | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Wilson | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Ashley Vincent | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 13.6% | 22.2% | 25.7% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 5.1% | 1.8% |
| Morgan Russom | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 2.0% |
| Sarah Mace | 7.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Mary Duncan | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 11.9% | 21.5% | 38.0% |
| Adelaide Davis | 1.7% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 8.5% | 15.4% | 21.2% | 26.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.