Race 12A

women-atlantic-coast

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
Caroline Sibilly 6.5% 8.6% 7.6% 7.3% 8.0% 6.2% 7.4% 6.5% 7.6% 5.3% 6.0% 4.4% 4.6% 3.8% 4.4% 2.7% 2.2% 0.9%
Bridget Green 5.5% 5.8% 6.7% 7.2% 7.0% 7.0% 7.2% 7.8% 6.7% 5.9% 6.1% 8.1% 5.2% 4.2% 3.7% 3.3% 1.9% 0.7%
Cordelia Burn 5.3% 4.1% 4.9% 5.4% 5.7% 7.2% 6.2% 5.8% 6.3% 6.4% 7.2% 5.8% 7.0% 6.1% 6.6% 4.7% 3.0% 2.3%
Ella Hubbard 2.7% 1.6% 3.5% 2.6% 4.4% 4.0% 3.3% 3.9% 3.8% 3.4% 5.0% 3.8% 7.4% 7.8% 6.3% 8.5% 12.8% 15.2%
Eva Blauvelt 5.9% 5.4% 5.3% 6.9% 5.4% 6.0% 5.9% 5.1% 5.6% 5.9% 6.0% 6.9% 6.5% 5.0% 6.4% 5.0% 3.6% 3.2%
Maddie Hawkins 11.2% 10.5% 11.2% 11.7% 9.5% 7.5% 7.2% 6.8% 5.0% 4.9% 3.7% 3.8% 1.9% 2.2% 1.5% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Samantha Gardner 5.2% 4.7% 5.8% 5.9% 5.5% 4.6% 5.6% 5.2% 6.3% 7.2% 6.6% 6.5% 6.3% 7.3% 5.6% 4.4% 4.5% 2.8%
Mia Nicolosi 10.4% 11.6% 9.4% 9.1% 8.6% 7.7% 6.9% 7.4% 5.7% 5.3% 6.0% 3.9% 3.6% 1.4% 1.6% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2%
Kyra Phelan 2.3% 1.6% 1.6% 2.6% 2.7% 2.8% 3.5% 3.0% 4.0% 4.4% 4.1% 5.3% 5.2% 7.6% 6.9% 11.3% 13.3% 17.8%
Brielle Willoughby 5.5% 4.5% 4.9% 5.2% 5.4% 6.1% 6.0% 7.3% 6.6% 7.0% 6.1% 6.1% 5.9% 6.7% 5.9% 5.1% 3.6% 2.1%
Vanessa Lahrkamp 13.5% 13.6% 9.6% 10.2% 8.5% 7.4% 9.4% 6.6% 5.4% 4.1% 4.4% 2.3% 2.0% 0.8% 1.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
Emily Bornarth 5.0% 5.4% 4.7% 4.1% 6.1% 6.7% 6.3% 5.8% 6.5% 6.3% 4.2% 6.6% 6.8% 6.5% 6.2% 5.7% 4.2% 2.9%
Grace Squires 2.9% 3.4% 2.9% 3.0% 3.8% 3.4% 3.7% 4.8% 4.0% 4.3% 5.6% 5.5% 6.3% 7.2% 9.0% 8.8% 8.8% 12.6%
Piper Holthus 5.7% 6.9% 7.2% 7.2% 5.9% 7.3% 6.2% 5.8% 5.3% 7.1% 6.4% 6.5% 5.8% 4.1% 4.6% 3.9% 2.9% 1.2%
Kay Brunsvold 2.5% 3.5% 3.5% 2.3% 3.7% 4.2% 4.2% 4.5% 4.7% 5.7% 5.5% 6.8% 6.2% 7.2% 7.5% 9.6% 9.5% 8.9%
Madeleine Rice 2.7% 2.5% 3.4% 3.1% 3.6% 5.4% 3.9% 3.9% 5.3% 5.3% 6.3% 6.6% 6.0% 6.2% 8.3% 7.7% 10.2% 9.6%
Brooke Schmelz 4.0% 3.7% 4.6% 4.1% 3.6% 4.4% 3.9% 5.9% 5.9% 6.2% 6.1% 5.5% 6.2% 7.8% 7.0% 7.2% 8.2% 5.7%
Olivia Sowa 3.2% 2.6% 3.2% 2.1% 2.6% 2.1% 3.2% 3.9% 5.3% 5.3% 4.7% 5.6% 7.1% 8.1% 7.4% 9.3% 10.5% 13.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.