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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.11+4.71vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.30+11.05vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.30+5.90vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.91+2.16vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.34+3.37vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.92+0.15vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.04+2.65vs Predicted
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8Tulane University1.75+2.86vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+1.11vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.37-1.39vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.29-2.18vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.43-3.53vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida1.89-2.79vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania2.18-5.15vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy0.86-0.80vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.13-6.63vs Predicted
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17North Carolina State University1.46-4.75vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62-6.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.71Stanford University3.110.1%1st Place
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13.05Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
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8.9Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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6.16Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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8.37Cornell University2.340.1%1st Place
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6.15Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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9.65College of Charleston2.040.0%1st Place
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10.86Tulane University1.750.0%1st Place
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10.11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.0%1st Place
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8.61Georgetown University2.370.1%1st Place
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8.82Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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8.47Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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10.21University of South Florida1.890.0%1st Place
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8.85University of Pennsylvania2.180.1%1st Place
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14.2U. S. Naval Academy0.860.0%1st Place
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9.37Bowdoin College2.130.0%1st Place
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12.25North Carolina State University1.460.0%1st Place
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11.28U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Freeman | 12.0% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Haley Andreasen | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 17.9% |
| Sarah Burn | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 10.7% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| Winborne Majette | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.0% |
| Emma Cowles | 10.9% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Emma Tallman | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 2.4% |
| Mia Hanes | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% |
| Lucy Brock | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.5% |
| Kelly Bates | 7.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Katharine Doble | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.3% |
| bella casaretto | 5.3% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.5% |
| Eden Nykamp | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.5% |
| Torrey Chisari | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.6% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 15.2% | 31.3% |
| Lauren Russler | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 2.3% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 12.8% |
| Julia Conneely | 3.3% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.