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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.91+5.46vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.34+6.71vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.92+3.29vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.11+1.44vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.89+5.24vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.29+2.69vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.18+2.16vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.430.00vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.30-0.38vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+0.42vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.37-2.49vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University1.46+0.48vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.13-3.80vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.30-1.60vs Predicted
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15Tulane University1.75-4.11vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston2.04-6.25vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62-5.37vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy0.86-3.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.46Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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8.71Cornell University2.340.0%1st Place
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6.29Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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5.44Stanford University3.110.1%1st Place
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10.24University of South Florida1.890.0%1st Place
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8.69Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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9.16University of Pennsylvania2.180.1%1st Place
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8.0Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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8.62Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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10.42Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.0%1st Place
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8.51Georgetown University2.370.1%1st Place
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12.48North Carolina State University1.460.0%1st Place
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9.2Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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12.4Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
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10.89Tulane University1.750.0%1st Place
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9.75College of Charleston2.040.0%1st Place
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11.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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14.1U. S. Naval Academy0.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michaela O'Brien | 9.9% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Winborne Majette | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Emma Cowles | 10.0% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Hannah Freeman | 14.2% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Eden Nykamp | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 4.4% |
| Katharine Doble | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% |
| Torrey Chisari | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.4% |
| bella casaretto | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Sarah Burn | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Lucy Brock | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 3.9% |
| Kelly Bates | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 15.4% |
| Lauren Russler | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.6% |
| Haley Andreasen | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 14.0% | 14.3% |
| Mia Hanes | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% |
| Emma Tallman | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.7% |
| Julia Conneely | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 8.5% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 13.6% | 31.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.