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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.91+5.49vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.04+7.96vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.30+5.83vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.92+2.13vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.89+5.25vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.18+3.12vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.30+5.67vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.11-2.58vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.43-0.93vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University1.46+2.36vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.37-2.48vs Predicted
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12Tulane University1.75-0.71vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.29-4.45vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.13-4.98vs Predicted
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15Cornell University2.34-6.60vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62-4.46vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94-6.72vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy0.86-3.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.49Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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9.96College of Charleston2.040.0%1st Place
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8.83Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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6.13Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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10.25University of South Florida1.890.0%1st Place
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9.12University of Pennsylvania2.180.1%1st Place
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12.67Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
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5.42Stanford University3.110.1%1st Place
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8.07Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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12.36North Carolina State University1.460.0%1st Place
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8.52Georgetown University2.370.1%1st Place
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11.29Tulane University1.750.0%1st Place
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8.55Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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9.02Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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8.4Cornell University2.340.1%1st Place
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11.54U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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10.28Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.0%1st Place
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14.1U. S. Naval Academy0.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michaela O'Brien | 9.6% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Emma Tallman | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 2.9% |
| Sarah Burn | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Emma Cowles | 12.1% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Eden Nykamp | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 4.6% |
| Torrey Chisari | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.5% |
| Haley Andreasen | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 16.2% |
| Hannah Freeman | 13.1% | 14.2% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| bella casaretto | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 14.4% |
| Kelly Bates | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% |
| Mia Hanes | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.0% |
| Katharine Doble | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Lauren Russler | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.2% |
| Winborne Majette | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Julia Conneely | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 8.4% |
| Lucy Brock | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.4% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 14.1% | 30.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.