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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.91+5.49vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.11+3.65vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.92+3.35vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.46+8.04vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.30+3.59vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.04+3.86vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.32+1.58vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.29+0.69vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.30+3.83vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.43-1.57vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania2.18-1.66vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.37-3.17vs Predicted
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13Tulane University1.75-2.15vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94-4.15vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy1.19-1.81vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida1.89-5.47vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62-5.31vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College2.13-8.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.49Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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5.65Stanford University3.110.1%1st Place
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6.35Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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12.04North Carolina State University1.460.0%1st Place
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8.59Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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9.86College of Charleston2.040.0%1st Place
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8.58Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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8.69Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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12.83Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
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8.43Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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9.34University of Pennsylvania2.180.1%1st Place
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8.83Georgetown University2.370.1%1st Place
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10.85Tulane University1.750.0%1st Place
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9.85Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.0%1st Place
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13.19U. S. Naval Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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10.53University of South Florida1.890.0%1st Place
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11.69U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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9.22Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michaela O'Brien | 10.1% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Freeman | 10.8% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Emma Cowles | 9.7% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 2.9% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 14.4% |
| Sarah Burn | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 1.5% |
| Emma Tallman | 4.9% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.2% |
| Sophia Devling | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Katharine Doble | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.3% |
| Haley Andreasen | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 11.4% | 13.7% | 15.9% |
| bella casaretto | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Torrey Chisari | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.3% |
| Kelly Bates | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.0% |
| Mia Hanes | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 8.2% |
| Lucy Brock | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 3.5% |
| Ava Farley | 2.0% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 13.4% | 21.8% |
| Eden Nykamp | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% |
| Julia Conneely | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 11.1% |
| Lauren Russler | 5.4% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.