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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.04+8.97vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.11+3.65vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.37+5.62vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.91+2.19vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.18+4.15vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.29+2.76vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.92-0.75vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.89+2.31vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy1.19+4.24vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.13-0.36vs Predicted
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11Tulane University1.75+0.15vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.30-2.91vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.43-5.02vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94-4.04vs Predicted
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15Cornell University2.32-6.47vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.30-3.15vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62-5.32vs Predicted
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18North Carolina State University1.46-6.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.97College of Charleston2.040.0%1st Place
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5.65Stanford University3.110.1%1st Place
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8.62Georgetown University2.370.1%1st Place
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6.19Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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9.15University of Pennsylvania2.180.1%1st Place
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8.76Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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6.25Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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10.31University of South Florida1.890.0%1st Place
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13.24U. S. Naval Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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9.64Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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11.15Tulane University1.750.0%1st Place
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9.09Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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7.98Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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9.96Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.0%1st Place
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8.53Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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12.85Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
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11.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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11.98North Carolina State University1.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Tallman | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.3% |
| Hannah Freeman | 10.3% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Kelly Bates | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 11.3% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Torrey Chisari | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.7% |
| Katharine Doble | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.2% |
| Emma Cowles | 10.7% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Eden Nykamp | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% |
| Ava Farley | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 13.4% | 21.9% |
| Lauren Russler | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 2.7% |
| Mia Hanes | 4.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% |
| Sarah Burn | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.0% |
| bella casaretto | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% |
| Lucy Brock | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.1% |
| Sophia Devling | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Haley Andreasen | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 19.6% |
| Julia Conneely | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 10.6% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 12.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.