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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.43+7.49vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.11+3.70vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.91+3.48vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.30+4.66vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.29+3.81vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.04+3.92vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy1.19+6.29vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+2.28vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.18+0.28vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.13-0.17vs Predicted
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11Tulane University2.16-1.47vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida1.89-1.12vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.32-4.50vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.30-1.42vs Predicted
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15North Carolina State University1.46-2.71vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University2.37-7.41vs Predicted
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17Yale University2.92-10.58vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62-6.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.49Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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5.7Stanford University3.110.1%1st Place
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6.48Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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8.66Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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8.81Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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9.92College of Charleston2.040.0%1st Place
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13.29U. S. Naval Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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10.28Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.0%1st Place
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9.28University of Pennsylvania2.180.0%1st Place
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9.83Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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9.53Tulane University2.160.1%1st Place
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10.88University of South Florida1.890.0%1st Place
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8.5Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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12.58Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
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12.29North Carolina State University1.460.0%1st Place
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8.59Georgetown University2.370.1%1st Place
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6.42Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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11.47U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bella casaretto | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% |
| Hannah Freeman | 10.7% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 9.2% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Burn | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 1.9% |
| Katharine Doble | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 1.7% |
| Emma Tallman | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% |
| Ava Farley | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 14.9% | 23.2% |
| Lucy Brock | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% |
| Torrey Chisari | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.1% |
| Lauren Russler | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 3.6% |
| Caroline Benson | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% |
| Eden Nykamp | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% |
| Sophia Devling | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.7% |
| Haley Andreasen | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 17.5% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 13.7% |
| Kelly Bates | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.0% |
| Emma Cowles | 11.8% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Julia Conneely | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 8.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.