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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.11+4.81vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.92+4.44vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.13+6.80vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.32+4.60vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62+6.50vs Predicted
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6Tulane University2.16+3.42vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.29+1.77vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.91-1.72vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy1.19+4.30vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.30-0.95vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania2.18-1.51vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida1.89-1.10vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.43-4.89vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94-4.07vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston2.04-5.17vs Predicted
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16North Carolina State University1.46-3.64vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University2.37-8.35vs Predicted
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18Tufts University1.30-5.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.81Stanford University3.110.1%1st Place
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6.44Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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9.8Bowdoin College2.130.0%1st Place
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8.6Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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11.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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9.42Tulane University2.160.1%1st Place
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8.77Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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6.28Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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13.3U. S. Naval Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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9.05Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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9.49University of Pennsylvania2.180.1%1st Place
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10.9University of South Florida1.890.0%1st Place
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8.11Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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9.93Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.0%1st Place
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9.83College of Charleston2.040.0%1st Place
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12.36North Carolina State University1.460.0%1st Place
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8.65Georgetown University2.370.1%1st Place
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12.77Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Freeman | 12.1% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emma Cowles | 8.7% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Lauren Russler | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.0% |
| Sophia Devling | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.0% |
| Julia Conneely | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 10.0% |
| Caroline Benson | 5.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.8% |
| Katharine Doble | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.0% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 10.3% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Ava Farley | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 14.6% | 21.6% |
| Sarah Burn | 6.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 1.9% |
| Torrey Chisari | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% |
| Eden Nykamp | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 6.7% |
| bella casaretto | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% |
| Lucy Brock | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% |
| Emma Tallman | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 3.4% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 16.0% |
| Kelly Bates | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Haley Andreasen | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 13.0% | 17.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.