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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.30+8.01vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.04+8.12vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.91+3.58vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.46+8.13vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.11+0.64vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.37+2.49vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.34+1.57vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.18+1.21vs Predicted
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9Tulane University2.16+0.32vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.29-0.84vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.89-0.37vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62+0.06vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94-2.81vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.13-4.77vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.43-6.82vs Predicted
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16Yale University2.92-9.63vs Predicted
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17Tufts University1.30-4.02vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy1.19-4.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.01Harvard University2.300.0%1st Place
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10.12College of Charleston2.040.0%1st Place
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6.58Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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12.13North Carolina State University1.460.0%1st Place
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5.64Stanford University3.110.1%1st Place
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8.49Georgetown University2.370.1%1st Place
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8.57Cornell University2.340.1%1st Place
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9.21University of Pennsylvania2.180.0%1st Place
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9.32Tulane University2.160.0%1st Place
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9.16Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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10.63University of South Florida1.890.0%1st Place
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12.06U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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10.19Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.0%1st Place
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9.23Bowdoin College2.130.0%1st Place
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8.18Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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6.37Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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12.98Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
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13.13U. S. Naval Academy1.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Burn | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Emma Tallman | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 3.2% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 9.3% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 2.9% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 15.6% |
| Hannah Freeman | 14.8% | 12.8% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Kelly Bates | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 1.3% |
| Winborne Majette | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| Torrey Chisari | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.5% |
| Caroline Benson | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% |
| Katharine Doble | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.0% |
| Eden Nykamp | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% |
| Julia Conneely | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 12.1% |
| Lucy Brock | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% |
| Lauren Russler | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.3% |
| bella casaretto | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% |
| Emma Cowles | 9.6% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Haley Andreasen | 2.7% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 10.7% | 14.0% | 19.6% |
| Ava Farley | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 14.8% | 20.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.