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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.45+6.89vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.02+7.77vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.45+4.90vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University3.39+3.89vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.68+1.81vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida2.80+4.37vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48+0.63vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.27+0.37vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.74-2.48vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32-1.49vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.20-2.16vs Predicted
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12Boston College3.48-4.05vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College3.00-3.59vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University3.28-5.83vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.81-4.71vs Predicted
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16Western Washington University1.62-1.46vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin1.46-1.99vs Predicted
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18Tulane University1.32-2.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.89Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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9.77University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
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7.9Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.450.1%1st Place
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7.89Old Dominion University3.390.1%1st Place
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6.81Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
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10.37University of South Florida2.800.0%1st Place
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7.63St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
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8.37Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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6.52Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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8.51U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.1%1st Place
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8.84College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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7.95Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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9.41Eckerd College3.000.1%1st Place
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8.17Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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10.29Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
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14.54Western Washington University1.620.0%1st Place
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15.01University of Wisconsin1.460.0%1st Place
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15.15Tulane University1.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Chanel Miller | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 0.9% |
| Kelly Crane | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Morgan Wilson | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Maggie Shea | 9.4% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 2.2% |
| Mayumi Roller | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Mace | 5.9% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Marlena Fauer | 9.9% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 7.3% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Grace Lucas | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Briana Provancha | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Charlotte Dorris | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Nancy Hagood | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Morgan Russom | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 2.2% |
| Ashley Vincent | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 13.5% | 22.6% | 23.3% |
| Adelaide Davis | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 13.2% | 21.1% | 32.4% |
| Mary Duncan | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 6.9% | 13.8% | 21.5% | 33.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.