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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.92+5.53vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.11+3.74vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.16+6.68vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.91+2.30vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+5.27vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.04+3.95vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.29+1.77vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62+3.55vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University1.46+3.34vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.43-1.50vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy1.19+2.35vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.30+1.19vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.13-3.61vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.30-5.52vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University2.37-6.51vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania2.18-6.65vs Predicted
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17Cornell University2.34-8.24vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida1.89-7.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.53Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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5.74Stanford University3.110.1%1st Place
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9.68Tulane University2.160.0%1st Place
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6.3Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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10.27Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.0%1st Place
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9.95College of Charleston2.040.0%1st Place
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8.77Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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11.55U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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12.34North Carolina State University1.460.0%1st Place
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8.5Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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13.35U. S. Naval Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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13.19Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
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9.39Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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8.48Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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8.49Georgetown University2.370.1%1st Place
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9.35University of Pennsylvania2.180.0%1st Place
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8.76Cornell University2.340.1%1st Place
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10.37University of South Florida1.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Cowles | 9.6% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Hannah Freeman | 10.7% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Benson | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 2.3% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 11.0% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Lucy Brock | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.4% |
| Emma Tallman | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 3.9% |
| Katharine Doble | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.3% |
| Julia Conneely | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 10.4% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 13.0% |
| bella casaretto | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.6% |
| Ava Farley | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 15.9% | 21.3% |
| Haley Andreasen | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 22.8% |
| Lauren Russler | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.2% |
| Sarah Burn | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% |
| Kelly Bates | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Torrey Chisari | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.4% |
| Winborne Majette | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Eden Nykamp | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.