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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.13+8.73vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.92+4.47vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.34+5.87vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62+7.53vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+5.25vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.11-0.43vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.29+1.82vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.18+1.21vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.43-0.78vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.91-3.44vs Predicted
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11Tulane University2.16-1.39vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University1.46+0.64vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston2.04-3.26vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University2.37-5.70vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida1.89-4.52vs Predicted
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16Harvard University2.30-7.15vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy1.19-3.58vs Predicted
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18Tufts University1.30-5.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.73Bowdoin College2.130.0%1st Place
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6.47Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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8.87Cornell University2.340.1%1st Place
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11.53U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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10.25Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.0%1st Place
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5.57Stanford University3.110.1%1st Place
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8.82Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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9.21University of Pennsylvania2.180.1%1st Place
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8.22Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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6.56Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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9.61Tulane University2.160.1%1st Place
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12.64North Carolina State University1.460.0%1st Place
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9.74College of Charleston2.040.1%1st Place
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8.3Georgetown University2.370.1%1st Place
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10.48University of South Florida1.890.0%1st Place
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8.85Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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13.42U. S. Naval Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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12.72Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Russler | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 3.3% |
| Emma Cowles | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Winborne Majette | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.7% |
| Julia Conneely | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 10.3% |
| Lucy Brock | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% |
| Hannah Freeman | 12.7% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Katharine Doble | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% |
| Torrey Chisari | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.3% |
| bella casaretto | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 11.2% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Benson | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.3% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 13.8% | 16.3% |
| Emma Tallman | 5.2% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.0% |
| Kelly Bates | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% |
| Eden Nykamp | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% |
| Sarah Burn | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.0% |
| Ava Farley | 2.6% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 11.0% | 15.3% | 22.9% |
| Haley Andreasen | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 16.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.