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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.91+5.59vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.18+7.59vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.11+2.76vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.37+4.39vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.30+3.69vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.34+2.62vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.89+3.57vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.29+0.75vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+1.29vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.30+3.10vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.92-4.56vs Predicted
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12Tulane University2.16-2.25vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62-1.46vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy1.19-0.96vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston2.04-5.16vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College2.43-7.71vs Predicted
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17North Carolina State University1.46-4.56vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College2.13-8.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.59Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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9.59University of Pennsylvania2.180.0%1st Place
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5.76Stanford University3.110.1%1st Place
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8.39Georgetown University2.370.1%1st Place
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8.69Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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8.62Cornell University2.340.1%1st Place
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10.57University of South Florida1.890.0%1st Place
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8.75Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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10.29Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.0%1st Place
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13.1Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
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6.44Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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9.75Tulane University2.160.0%1st Place
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11.54U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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13.04U. S. Naval Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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9.84College of Charleston2.040.0%1st Place
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8.29Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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12.44North Carolina State University1.460.0%1st Place
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9.32Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michaela O'Brien | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Torrey Chisari | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.4% |
| Hannah Freeman | 12.1% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kelly Bates | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% |
| Sarah Burn | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.0% |
| Winborne Majette | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% |
| Eden Nykamp | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.5% |
| Katharine Doble | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.9% |
| Lucy Brock | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 3.9% |
| Haley Andreasen | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 14.3% | 20.3% |
| Emma Cowles | 10.8% | 11.4% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Caroline Benson | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% |
| Julia Conneely | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 10.1% |
| Ava Farley | 2.7% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 15.2% | 21.1% |
| Emma Tallman | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.3% |
| bella casaretto | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.7% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 13.1% | 15.9% |
| Lauren Russler | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.