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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University1.28+7.48vs Predicted
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2Florida State University0.97+7.82vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.65+4.25vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+8.44vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15+0.40vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.03+0.10vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.01-0.98vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.84-1.51vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.44-0.68vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University0.95-0.07vs Predicted
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11Washington College0.51+0.78vs Predicted
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12George Washington University1.26-3.18vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin0.86-2.56vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.28-5.08vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont0.08-1.99vs Predicted
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16Fordham University1.57-8.39vs Predicted
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17Christopher Newport University0.37-4.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.48Old Dominion University1.280.1%1st Place
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9.82Florida State University0.970.0%1st Place
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7.25Jacksonville University1.650.1%1st Place
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12.44U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
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5.4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
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6.1Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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6.02Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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6.49University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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8.32Boston University1.440.1%1st Place
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9.93Roger Williams University0.950.0%1st Place
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11.78Washington College0.510.0%1st Place
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8.82George Washington University1.260.1%1st Place
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10.44University of Wisconsin0.860.0%1st Place
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8.92Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.280.0%1st Place
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13.01University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
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7.61Fordham University1.570.1%1st Place
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12.17Christopher Newport University0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Gildea | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Katie Nelson | 4.2% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 3.9% |
| Emily Allen | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 1.6% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 17.7% | 18.3% |
| Madison Bashaw | 14.0% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 10.5% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% |
| Katherine McNamara | 11.1% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 10.1% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Tiare Sierra | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 4.2% |
| Kennedy Jones | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 14.7% | 13.8% |
| Avery Canavan | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.1% |
| Mary Castellini | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.6% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.4% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 14.4% | 26.2% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 6.0% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% |
| Laura Smith | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 17.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.