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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.65+6.14vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.01+3.85vs Predicted
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3Florida State University0.97+6.91vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.03+2.02vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.44+2.89vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-0.34vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.57+0.64vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.84-1.44vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University0.37+3.33vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University1.28-1.42vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.28-2.14vs Predicted
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12Washington College0.51-0.39vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-0.46vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.08-0.84vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University0.95-5.07vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin0.86-5.58vs Predicted
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17George Washington University1.26-8.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.14Jacksonville University1.650.1%1st Place
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5.85Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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9.91Florida State University0.970.0%1st Place
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6.02Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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7.89Boston University1.440.1%1st Place
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5.66St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
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7.64Fordham University1.570.1%1st Place
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6.56University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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12.33Christopher Newport University0.370.0%1st Place
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8.58Old Dominion University1.280.1%1st Place
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8.86Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.280.1%1st Place
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11.61Washington College0.510.0%1st Place
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12.54U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
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13.16University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
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9.93Roger Williams University0.950.0%1st Place
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10.42University of Wisconsin0.860.0%1st Place
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8.9George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Allen | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Katherine McNamara | 12.2% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Katie Nelson | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 4.7% |
| Eva Ermlich | 11.9% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Tiare Sierra | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Madison Bashaw | 11.5% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 10.5% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Laura Smith | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 14.2% | 17.4% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.1% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
| Kennedy Jones | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 14.1% | 12.0% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 15.6% | 19.3% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 15.4% | 27.4% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% |
| Mary Castellini | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% |
| Avery Canavan | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 1.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.