← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+11.12vs Predicted
-
2Jacksonville University1.65+5.18vs Predicted
-
3Florida State University0.97+6.84vs Predicted
-
4George Washington University1.26+4.87vs Predicted
-
5University of Rhode Island1.84+1.43vs Predicted
-
6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-0.42vs Predicted
-
7Old Dominion University1.28+1.73vs Predicted
-
8Brown University2.01-2.10vs Predicted
-
9Boston University1.44-0.78vs Predicted
-
10University of Wisconsin0.86+0.28vs Predicted
-
11Roger Williams University0.95-0.83vs Predicted
-
12Fordham University1.57-4.40vs Predicted
-
13University of Vermont0.08+0.13vs Predicted
-
14Washington College0.51-2.13vs Predicted
-
15Northeastern University2.03-9.02vs Predicted
-
16Christopher Newport University0.37-3.74vs Predicted
-
17Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.28-8.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
12.12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
-
7.18Jacksonville University1.650.1%1st Place
-
9.84Florida State University0.970.0%1st Place
-
8.87George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
-
6.43University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
-
5.58St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
-
8.73Old Dominion University1.280.1%1st Place
-
5.9Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
-
8.22Boston University1.440.1%1st Place
-
10.28University of Wisconsin0.860.0%1st Place
-
10.17Roger Williams University0.950.0%1st Place
-
7.6Fordham University1.570.1%1st Place
-
13.13University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
-
11.87Washington College0.510.0%1st Place
-
5.98Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
-
12.26Christopher Newport University0.370.0%1st Place
-
8.85Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annika VanderHorst | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 16.6% | 16.3% |
| Emily Allen | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Katie Nelson | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.7% |
| Avery Canavan | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.3% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 10.5% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Madison Bashaw | 11.1% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Katherine McNamara | 13.0% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Tiare Sierra | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Mary Castellini | 2.9% | 2.3% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 5.7% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 4.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 14.9% | 26.7% |
| Kennedy Jones | 1.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 14.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 11.4% | 12.2% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Laura Smith | 2.1% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 14.4% | 16.5% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.