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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.84+5.38vs Predicted
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2Florida State University0.97+7.85vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University0.95+6.97vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.65+3.31vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15+0.45vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.28+2.88vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.01-1.00vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.28+0.57vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.26+0.01vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.44-2.04vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.57-3.27vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.03-6.06vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.08+0.14vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin0.86-3.46vs Predicted
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15Washington College0.51-3.38vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University0.37-3.79vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-4.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.38University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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9.85Florida State University0.970.0%1st Place
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9.97Roger Williams University0.950.0%1st Place
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7.31Jacksonville University1.650.1%1st Place
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5.45St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
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8.88Old Dominion University1.280.0%1st Place
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6.0Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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8.57Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.280.1%1st Place
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9.01George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
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7.96Boston University1.440.1%1st Place
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7.73Fordham University1.570.1%1st Place
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5.94Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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13.14University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
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10.54University of Wisconsin0.860.0%1st Place
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11.62Washington College0.510.0%1st Place
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12.21Christopher Newport University0.370.0%1st Place
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12.42U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 10.6% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Katie Nelson | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 3.6% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 4.7% |
| Emily Allen | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Madison Bashaw | 13.2% | 13.1% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% |
| Katherine McNamara | 10.3% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 7.0% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| Avery Canavan | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 2.0% |
| Tiare Sierra | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 8.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 10.7% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.4% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 16.7% | 26.6% |
| Mary Castellini | 2.3% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 6.3% |
| Kennedy Jones | 2.6% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 13.0% |
| Laura Smith | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 13.4% | 16.4% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 14.0% | 20.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.