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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.57+6.41vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.26+6.79vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15+2.48vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.03+1.94vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University0.95+4.75vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.84+0.77vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.28+1.75vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.44-0.04vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.01-2.90vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.08+3.09vs Predicted
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11Washington College0.51+0.74vs Predicted
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12Florida State University0.97-2.12vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University1.65-5.58vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University0.37-1.72vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.28-6.24vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin0.86-5.59vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-4.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.41Fordham University1.570.1%1st Place
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8.79George Washington University1.260.1%1st Place
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5.48St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
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5.94Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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9.75Roger Williams University0.950.0%1st Place
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6.77University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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8.75Old Dominion University1.280.1%1st Place
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7.96Boston University1.440.1%1st Place
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6.1Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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13.09University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
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11.74Washington College0.510.0%1st Place
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9.88Florida State University0.970.0%1st Place
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7.42Jacksonville University1.650.1%1st Place
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12.28Christopher Newport University0.370.0%1st Place
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8.76Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.280.1%1st Place
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10.41University of Wisconsin0.860.0%1st Place
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12.47U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Cutler | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Avery Canavan | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.3% |
| Madison Bashaw | 12.3% | 13.2% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 12.8% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 3.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 4.2% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 1.6% |
| Tiare Sierra | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Katherine McNamara | 9.5% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 14.5% | 24.3% |
| Kennedy Jones | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 14.2% |
| Katie Nelson | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 4.4% |
| Emily Allen | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Laura Smith | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 14.1% | 17.9% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 5.6% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.4% |
| Mary Castellini | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 15.2% | 19.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.