← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15+4.38vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+10.33vs Predicted
-
3Brown University2.01+2.97vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University0.95+6.05vs Predicted
-
5Jacksonville University1.65+2.08vs Predicted
-
6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.28+2.86vs Predicted
-
7George Washington University1.26+1.80vs Predicted
-
8Northeastern University2.03-2.16vs Predicted
-
9Fordham University1.57-1.26vs Predicted
-
10University of Vermont0.08+3.07vs Predicted
-
11Old Dominion University1.28-2.18vs Predicted
-
12Florida State University0.97-2.08vs Predicted
-
13University of Rhode Island1.84-6.36vs Predicted
-
14Christopher Newport University0.37-1.72vs Predicted
-
15Boston University1.44-6.89vs Predicted
-
16University of Wisconsin0.86-5.61vs Predicted
-
17Washington College0.51-5.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.38St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
-
12.33U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
-
5.97Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
-
10.05Roger Williams University0.950.0%1st Place
-
7.08Jacksonville University1.650.1%1st Place
-
8.86Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.280.0%1st Place
-
8.8George Washington University1.260.1%1st Place
-
5.84Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
-
7.74Fordham University1.570.1%1st Place
-
13.07University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
-
8.82Old Dominion University1.280.1%1st Place
-
9.92Florida State University0.970.0%1st Place
-
6.64University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
-
12.28Christopher Newport University0.370.0%1st Place
-
8.11Boston University1.440.1%1st Place
-
10.39University of Wisconsin0.860.0%1st Place
-
11.7Washington College0.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madison Bashaw | 13.9% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 16.9% | 17.9% |
| Katherine McNamara | 10.8% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 5.1% |
| Emily Allen | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.3% |
| Avery Canavan | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Eva Ermlich | 12.5% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 14.1% | 24.5% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 1.4% |
| Katie Nelson | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Laura Smith | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 13.8% | 17.9% |
| Tiare Sierra | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Mary Castellini | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% |
| Kennedy Jones | 1.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 14.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.