← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Rhode Island3.02+8.66vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32+6.52vs Predicted
-
3Harvard University2.81+7.58vs Predicted
-
4Brown University3.45+3.60vs Predicted
-
5Stanford University3.27+3.39vs Predicted
-
6Yale University3.74+0.58vs Predicted
-
7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48+0.62vs Predicted
-
8Connecticut College3.68-1.25vs Predicted
-
9Old Dominion University3.39-1.07vs Predicted
-
10Eckerd College3.00-0.17vs Predicted
-
11Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.45-3.11vs Predicted
-
12University of South Florida2.80-1.29vs Predicted
-
13College of Charleston3.20-4.42vs Predicted
-
14Western Washington University1.62+0.19vs Predicted
-
15Boston College3.48-7.47vs Predicted
-
16Georgetown University3.28-7.49vs Predicted
-
17University of Wisconsin1.46-2.00vs Predicted
-
18Tulane University1.32-2.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.66University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
-
8.52U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.1%1st Place
-
10.58Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
-
7.6Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
-
8.39Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
-
6.58Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
-
7.62St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
-
6.75Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
-
7.93Old Dominion University3.390.1%1st Place
-
9.83Eckerd College3.000.1%1st Place
-
7.89Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.450.1%1st Place
-
10.71University of South Florida2.800.0%1st Place
-
8.58College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
-
14.19Western Washington University1.620.0%1st Place
-
7.53Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
-
8.51Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
-
15.0University of Wisconsin1.460.0%1st Place
-
15.13Tulane University1.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chanel Miller | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 1.0% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Morgan Russom | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 2.8% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Sarah Mace | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Marlena Fauer | 10.1% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Mayumi Roller | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Maggie Shea | 8.3% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Morgan Wilson | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Charlotte Dorris | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 0.9% |
| Kelly Crane | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 2.2% |
| Grace Lucas | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Ashley Vincent | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 13.3% | 19.4% | 23.2% |
| Briana Provancha | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Nancy Hagood | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Adelaide Davis | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 12.1% | 21.8% | 32.5% |
| Mary Duncan | 1.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 8.7% | 12.2% | 21.9% | 33.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.