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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.01+4.71vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.44+6.00vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+9.38vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.03+1.97vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.28+3.52vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.28+2.90vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University1.65+0.23vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University0.37+3.89vs Predicted
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9Florida State University0.97+1.11vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.08+3.11vs Predicted
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11George Washington University1.26-2.00vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-6.49vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.57-5.32vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University0.95-3.85vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.84-8.41vs Predicted
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16Washington College0.51-4.22vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin0.86-6.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.71Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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8.0Boston University1.440.1%1st Place
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12.38U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
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5.97Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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8.52Old Dominion University1.280.1%1st Place
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8.9Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.280.1%1st Place
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7.23Jacksonville University1.650.1%1st Place
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11.89Christopher Newport University0.370.0%1st Place
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10.11Florida State University0.970.0%1st Place
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13.11University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
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9.0George Washington University1.260.1%1st Place
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5.51St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
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7.68Fordham University1.570.1%1st Place
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10.15Roger Williams University0.950.0%1st Place
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6.59University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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11.78Washington College0.510.0%1st Place
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10.48University of Wisconsin0.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine McNamara | 13.4% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tiare Sierra | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 14.0% | 20.6% |
| Eva Ermlich | 10.9% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.1% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 2.1% |
| Emily Allen | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Laura Smith | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 14.1% | 16.6% |
| Katie Nelson | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 4.4% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 14.2% | 25.5% |
| Avery Canavan | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 2.7% |
| Madison Bashaw | 11.7% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 4.6% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Kennedy Jones | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 12.5% |
| Mary Castellini | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 6.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.