← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Jacksonville University1.65+6.15vs Predicted
-
2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.28+6.62vs Predicted
-
3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15+2.50vs Predicted
-
4Fordham University1.57+3.69vs Predicted
-
5University of Wisconsin0.86+5.16vs Predicted
-
6Roger Williams University0.95+4.21vs Predicted
-
7Washington College0.51+4.71vs Predicted
-
8Boston University1.44+0.01vs Predicted
-
9Brown University2.01-2.92vs Predicted
-
10Florida State University0.97-0.16vs Predicted
-
11Christopher Newport University0.37+1.17vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+0.37vs Predicted
-
13Northeastern University2.03-6.96vs Predicted
-
14University of Rhode Island1.84-7.30vs Predicted
-
15George Washington University1.26-6.16vs Predicted
-
16Old Dominion University1.28-7.21vs Predicted
-
17University of Vermont0.08-3.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.15Jacksonville University1.650.1%1st Place
-
8.62Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.280.1%1st Place
-
5.5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
-
7.69Fordham University1.570.1%1st Place
-
10.16University of Wisconsin0.860.0%1st Place
-
10.21Roger Williams University0.950.0%1st Place
-
11.71Washington College0.510.0%1st Place
-
8.01Boston University1.440.1%1st Place
-
6.08Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
-
9.84Florida State University0.970.0%1st Place
-
12.17Christopher Newport University0.370.0%1st Place
-
12.37U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
-
6.04Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
-
6.7University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
-
8.84George Washington University1.260.1%1st Place
-
8.79Old Dominion University1.280.0%1st Place
-
13.12University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Allen | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.9% |
| Madison Bashaw | 13.4% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 7.5% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Mary Castellini | 2.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 5.7% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% |
| Kennedy Jones | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 12.4% |
| Tiare Sierra | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% |
| Katherine McNamara | 9.3% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Katie Nelson | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 3.9% |
| Laura Smith | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 13.5% | 18.8% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 12.3% | 14.1% | 18.8% |
| Eva Ermlich | 11.5% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Avery Canavan | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.0% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 1.7% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 17.1% | 26.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.